The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment
Global Warming Research, Development, and Educational Materials on
Anthropologic Climate Change and Pollution

for The Membrane Domain & InternetU.org

by Brouse and Mukherjee

Foreword by Daniel Brouse, October 2024

The Past, Present, and Future of Climate Change

We first developed the hypothesis of the non-linear acceleration of climate change in the 1990s. By the early 2000s, this hypothesis evolved into established climate theory, now widely accepted as scientific fact. My lab partner, a Doctor of Physics from Ohio State, and I collaborated to provide crucial evidence supporting this theory. Over time, we have observed a significant shift in the doubling time of climate change impacts -- the rate at which the effects intensify. Initially, the doubling time was approximately 100 years, but it has since decreased to 10 years, and more recently, to just 2 years.

This trend means that the damage caused by climate change today is double what it was two years ago, and in two more years, it could be four times worse. Unfortunately, this rapid acceleration does not appear to be an anomaly, especially given the record-breaking events we've witnessed this year, even during the typically cooler La Nina phase. If this trajectory continues, the outcomes will be far more catastrophic than previously expected.

Our climate model was validated in the summer of 2024, as we observed a dozen billion-dollar climate disasters in the first part of the year. On September 26, Hurricane Helene made landfall, emerging as one of the most destructive climate events in recorded history. With over 200 fatalities and $126 billion in direct damages, the hurricane had ripple effects beyond its immediate destruction. For instance, it disrupted 60% of the U.S. IV fluid supply, causing critical shortages in the healthcare sector. Even more concerning, the global tech industry has been impacted, as 99% of the pure quartz used in semiconductor manufacturing has been affected, leading to potential long-term consequences for electronics production.

Hurricane Milton quickly followed, further compounding the devastation. Milton is expected to result in over $100 billion in insurance claims, complicating an already strained insurance market for Florida homeowners. On top of that, the public and government will likely bear an additional $50 billion in costs, placing further pressure on taxpayers and state resources. Much of the damage was caused by high winds and an unprecedented number of tornadoes -- over 30 tornadoes hit eastern Florida, causing the highest number of fatalities and extensive financial losses.

The Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London confirmed that nearly half of the increased costs and intensity of Hurricanes Milton and Helene can be directly attributed to climate change. According to Professor Ralf Toumi, Director of the Grantham Institute and co-author of several studies, "With every fraction of a degree of warming, extreme weather events like Hurricanes Milton and Helene become more powerful and destructive. This should be a wake-up call for anyone who believes climate change is too expensive to address -- every delay in reducing emissions only increases the cost of these catastrophic events."

In summary, the evidence is clear: climate change is rapidly accelerating, and the costs -- both economic and human -- are growing exponentially. The future demands decisive and immediate action to curb greenhouse gas emissions and prevent further environmental and societal collapse.

The Persistence of Climate Change Denial: Impact and Consequences

Many people ask, "Why does a scientist engage with climate deniers?"

Thanks for the concern! You're right that, for my mental health, it might be easier to ignore them. However, as an educator, I see these interactions as an opportunity to reach a wider audience. Engaging with climate skeptics -- what some might call 'climate dummies' -- gives me the chance to correct misinformation in real time and provide fact-based explanations to others who may be quietly observing the conversation.

By addressing these false claims head-on, I can offer a legitimate, scientifically backed source of information to those seeking clarity in a sea of misinformation. This outreach is critical, especially when so many people are exposed to conflicting or inaccurate claims about climate change. My aim is not to argue for the sake of it, but to ensure that there are trusted voices out there providing clear, evidence-based information on the urgent reality of climate change.

In addition, their opposition is immensely educative in our efforts. In reality, their persistent denial of climate change has forced us to rethink and drastically rebuild our climate models. What were once "worst-case" scenarios have now become the "best-case" outcomes we are seeing today.

Our updated climate model, now integrating complex social-ecological factors, shows that global temperatures could rise by up to 9°C within this century -- far beyond previous predictions of a 4°C rise over the next thousand years. This kind of warming could bring us dangerously close to the "wet-bulb" threshold, where heat and humidity exceed the human body's ability to cool itself, leading to fatal consequences.

Unfortunately, we rely on these so-called climate "skeptics" to remind us just how urgent and critical the climate crisis is becoming. Ironically, their denial helps highlight the importance of decisive action, as climate change continues to spiral out of control.

The window for meaningful intervention is closing, and the need for action has never been more critical.

What you can do today. How to save the planet.

The Immediate Impact of Climate Change

If you’re wondering why rain-related severe weather events are becoming more frequent and intense, it’s due to climate change. Rising temperatures increase the amount of humidity in the atmosphere, as warmer air holds more moisture. The Clausius-Clapeyron equation shows that for every 1°C (1.8°F) increase in temperature, the air can hold about 7% more water vapor. This not only raises relative humidity, posing health risks, but it also amplifies the intensity of extreme weather events like storms, floods, and hurricanes.

Many areas in the U.S. are experiencing average temperature increases of up to 10°C, extending over more weeks during both spring and fall. This increase allows the atmosphere to hold about 70% more water vapor, leading to significantly more rainfall. Additionally, raindrops are becoming larger and falling faster, which increases their momentum. Using the formula p=mv (momentum = mass x velocity), larger and faster raindrops carry more energy.

Moreover, the number of raindrops is also increasing. A higher concentration of raindrops in a given time and area further boosts momentum. For example, if N raindrops, each with mass m and velocity v, hit a surface area A per second, the total momentum impacting the surface is Nmv per second. This contributes to increased force and damage during rainstorms.

The end result is an increase not only in the frequency and intensity of storms but also in the momentum of falling rain, which intensifies their impact.

Violent Rain
What turns these severe weather events into ‘violent rain events’ is the application of the drag equation and flow dynamics.

Mass and velocity are just part of the equation; density also plays a key role. The combination of these variables increases the intensity of flow forces. Wind and water forces scale with the square of velocity, meaning that as flow speeds increase — due to more intense heating or heavier rainfall — the damage scales accordingly. According to drag physics, force is proportional to density times the square of velocity.

For example, a 20-mile-an-hour wind exerts four times the force of a 10-mile-an-hour wind, while a 40-mile-an-hour wind exerts 16 times the force of a 10-mile-an-hour wind. At 50 miles an hour, the force is 25 times greater, and at 60 miles an hour, it's 36 times greater than at 10 miles an hour. Now, add the density factor: water is about 800 times denser than air, so a 10-mile-an-hour water flow exerts 800 times the force of a 10-mile-an-hour wind.

As flow velocities increase due to climate change, the forces — and thus the damage — scale with the square of the velocities. While we may not know precisely how much velocities will rise with climate change, we're already seeing the effects: overwhelmed flood and sewage systems, collapsing hillsides, and more.

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The Age of Loss and Damage Brouse (2023)

Toppled Tipping Points: The Domino Effect Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

Climate Change: Rate of Acceleration Brouse and Mukherjee (2023-2024)

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Canadian Wildfires: Over the Tipping Point Brouse (2024)

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The Physics of Violent Rain Brouse and Mukherjee (2024)

Violent Raindrops: Raindrops Are Increasing in Size Brouse and Mukherjee (2024)

Climate Science: The Influence of Love and Hate Brouse (2024)

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The Snowball Effect Brouse (2024)

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The Decline of Penn's Sylvania Brouse (2024)

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Earth's Vital Signs Brouse (2024)

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9 Climate Change Tipping Points Crossed Brouse (2024)

Coral Reefs' Tipping Point Brouse (2024)

Climate Change: How Long Is "Ever"? Brouse (2023)

Climate Change: The End of Times Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

The Reign of Violent Rain Brouse and Mukherjee (2023-2024)

Flood Insurance Brouse and Mukherjee (1995-present)

Wildfires Brouse and Mukherjee (2024)

Wildfire Sunsets Brouse (2024)

How Do Pollution and Climate Change Kill People? Brouse (2024)

Climate Change and Deadly Humid Heat Brouse (2023)

Tree Extinction Due to Human Induced Environmental Stress Mukherjee and Brouse (2005)

Soil Degradation and Desertification Brouse (2024)

Create a Climate-Resilient Environment in and Around Your Home Brouse (2024)

Climate Change Increases Moisture in the Atmosphere Brouse (2024)

Atmospheric Rivers Mukherjee and Brouse (2022-2023)

East Coast Atmospheric Rivers and AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) Brouse (2024)

Climate Change, the Jet Stream, and East Coast Atmospheric Rivers Brouse (2024)

Sea-level Rise: Greenland and the Collapse of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet Mukherjee and Brouse (2022 and 2023)

Sea Level Rise: Then and Now Mukherjee and Brouse (2023)

Measuring Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, and Gravity Brouse and Mukherjee (2024)

Violent Rain and the Substrate Brouse and Laden (2024)

Climate Change: The Equation Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)

Carbon Offsets and Sequestration: Planting Trees is Greenwashing Brouse (2023-2024)

The Long-term Breathing Experiment Brouse (2023)

Health Impacts of Air Pollution Brouse (2023)

Climate Change and Cigarette Litigation Daniel Brouse (2016 and 2023)

Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania and the Creation of the Climate Crisis Daniel Brouse (2023)

Real Estate Underwater: A Florida Climate Change Case Study Daniel Brouse (2023)

Climate Change Impacts on Flood Risks and Real Estate Values Sidd Mukherjee and Daniel Brouse (2023)

Real Estate and Climate Change: Stranded on an Island Daniel Brouse (2023)

Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (2022)

Emissions Gap Report UN Environment Programme (2022)

Extreme Heat: Uninhabitable Within Decades U.N. humanitarian aid agency OCHA and the International Federation of Red Cross (2022)

Managed Retreat: Relocating Due to Climate Change Extreme Weather Events Politico (2022)

The Momentum of Rain Daniel Brouse and Sidd Mukherjee (2022)

The Missing Risks of Climate Change Nature (2022)

What about solar energy? Can't we use solar for everything? Daniel Brouse (2022)

Additional References

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