1Independent Climatologist, Economist, Membrane Domain, USA
2Independent Physicist, Membrane Domain, USA
August, 2026
The Observation
Glad to know you’re watching out! At the same time, this divisiveness—when we desperately need everyone to pull together because it’s a CRISIS, right?—makes me somehow deeply sad.
That’s a big job right there… How do we reach those who seem furthest away from any kind of understanding? We need both a Winston Churchill and a Mahatma Gandhi in this endeavor…
The Response
Agreed. Both denialism and ecofascism are ideologies that ultimately defy logic. In very different ways, they can become a kind of combination of self-destruction and destruction of others.
I’ve spent years battling misinformation, propaganda, and rhetoric. To the best of my knowledge, neither Sidd nor I have successfully converted—or even educated—a single committed denier. Climate science has somehow been transformed into a “belief” system. But science has nothing to do with belief. 1 + 1 = 2. If someone refuses to “believe” that, what exactly can you do?
From the beginning, our work has been based on observations, data, mathematics, and the laws of physics. So yes, I think this is at the heart of the crisis. When we started this work, we genuinely believed humanity would eventually take action. We thought we had thousands, if not tens of thousands, of years to adapt. That was the one thing we got wrong.
A couple of years ago, after explaining my continuing attempts to reach climate deniers, I asked Sidd what we could possibly do. His response was essentially, “Dude, just tell them to look out their window.” It sounds simplistic, but there is profound truth in it. The consequences are becoming increasingly difficult to deny.
Since then, we’ve had to rebuild much of our modeling. A +4°C world within thousands of years is no longer the worst-case scenario we worry about. The possibility of 4–7°C of warming within a century has become a much more serious concern in our work.
And then there is the political dimension. The rise of white-nationalist and authoritarian governments in the U.S. and elsewhere has made an already difficult problem considerably harder. Paradoxically, though, history offers one small reason for hope: fascism ultimately fails. It is inherently self-destructive.
The “drill, baby, drill” mentality is economically and environmentally self-defeating. A severe economic contraction could, ironically, buy humanity some time for adaptation while drastically reducing emissions. That is hardly the future anyone should want, but history has repeatedly demonstrated that systems built on extremism and authoritarianism eventually consume themselves.
So yes—we desperately need both the Churchill and Gandhi dimensions: the willingness to confront reality without flinching, and the willingness to keep reaching for people rather than giving up on them. I’m just not sure humanity has ever faced a crisis where we needed both quite this badly.
The decline in American belief becomes even more concerning when viewed against the rest of the world.
A 2025 Pew Research Center international survey of 25 countries found that a global median of 67% of respondents considered climate change a major threat to their country. In the United States, however, only 51% said the same—a gap of 16 percentage points.
The U.S. was among the least concerned countries surveyed. Americans were less likely than respondents in 13 of the 16 high-income countries included in the survey to view climate change as a major threat. In countries such as Argentina, Brazil, France, Japan and South Korea, roughly 80% of respondents regarded climate change as a major threat.
The difference is particularly striking because the United States is not insulated from climate impacts. Americans are experiencing extreme heat, rising cooling demand, disrupted outdoor activities and other consequences of a warming climate, yet concern about climate change remains comparatively low.
The international comparison becomes even more revealing when political ideology is considered.
Pew found that approximately 84% of U.S. liberals regarded climate change as a major threat, compared with only about 20% of U.S. conservatives. That enormous gap makes the United States an international outlier in the degree to which climate change has become politically polarized.
The result is a remarkable paradox.
Americans across the political spectrum can experience the same heat wave, pay the same electricity bill and endure the same disruption to their daily lives. Yet they may reach dramatically different conclusions about what those experiences mean.
Americans Are Feeling the Heat—But Fewer Believe Climate Change Is Happening
* Our probabilistic, ensemble-based climate model — which incorporates complex socio-economic and ecological feedback loops within a dynamic, nonlinear system — projects that global temperatures are becoming unsustainable this century. This far exceeds earlier estimates of a 4°C rise over the next thousand years, highlighting a dramatic acceleration in global warming. We are now entering a phase of compound, cascading collapse, where climate, ecological, and societal systems destabilize through interlinked, self-reinforcing feedback loops.
We examine how human activities — such as deforestation, fossil fuel combustion, mass consumption, industrial agriculture, and land development — interact with ecological processes like thermal energy redistribution, carbon cycling, hydrological flow, biodiversity loss, and the spread of disease vectors. These interactions do not follow linear cause-and-effect patterns. Instead, they form complex, self-reinforcing feedback loops that can trigger rapid, system-wide transformations — often abruptly and without warning. Grasping these dynamics is crucial for accurately assessing global risks and developing effective strategies for long-term survival.
Denialism and Ecofascism Resources:
Bottom line: The question is no longer how warm the planet becomes, but how life on Earth can endure when change outpaces our ability to adapt.
We cannot control the laws of physics, but we can control our pollution. The most effective action is to stop burning fossil fuels.